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Expectations for the Group

Expectations up to 2027. We expect profitable growth to continue over the next two years. This will provide a sound basis for achieving our financial ambitions – as communicated at our Capital Markets Day in October 2024.

We expect our financial performance indicators to develop as follows in 2026 and 2027 on an organic basis, i.e., on a like-for-like basis with the prior year:

  • We expect revenue to increase both in 2026 and in 2027 on the back of the positive development of service revenue. The primary driver of this trend will be the United States operating segment, where we likewise expect revenue to grow in both 2026 and 2027. We expect revenue in the Germany and Europe operating segments to increase slightly in both 2026 and 2027.
  • Service revenue is projected to increase in both 2026 and 2027. This trend will be influenced by the growth expected in the United States operating segment for 2026 and 2027. In the Germany and Europe operating segments, we expect a slight increase in both 2026 and in 2027.
  • Adjusted EBITDA AL is expected to increase substantially in 2026 to around EUR 47.4 billion and to rise sharply again in 2027. In particular, the favorable revenue trend and the realization of efficiency measures will have a positive impact.
  • We anticipate an increase in profit/loss from operations (EBIT) in 2026 followed by a sharp increase in 2027. Expected EBIT will benefit overall from the trend in adjusted EBITDA AL. Nevertheless, the 2026 financial year will be adversely affected in particular by integration costs recognized as special factors in connection with the UScellular Acquisition.
  • We expect a moderate decline in ROCE in 2026, followed by a strong increase in 2027. The initial moderate decrease is due to non-recurring positive effects from 2025, such as the reversals of impairment losses on the carrying amounts of the investments in GD Towers and GlasfaserPlus. The integration costs recognized as special factors in connection with the UScellular Acquisition will also have a negative impact in 2026. We expect to achieve our target for ROCE to be higher than the expected weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for future years.
  • Our investments – measured in terms of cash capex (before spectrum investment) – are expected to amount to around EUR 17.0 billion in 2026. Cash capex (before spectrum investment) is anticipated to decline in 2027 as we come to the end of a heightened investment phase, mainly in connection with the integration of UScellular. We want to continue investing heavily in building out our network infrastructure in Germany, the United States, and Europe in order to safeguard our technology leadership in the long term.
  • Free cash flow AL (before dividend payments and spectrum investment) is expected to reach around EUR 19.8 billion in 2026. We anticipate a sharp rise in free cash flow AL in 2027, due to sound operational development and the decline in cash capex (before spectrum investment).
  • At the end of 2025, we had the following ratings: BBB+ with a positive outlook (Standard & Poor’s); BBB+ with a stable outlook (Fitch); and A3 with a stable outlook (Moody’s). Maintaining an investment grade rating within the A- to BBB range will enable us to retain undisputed access to the international capital markets and is thus a key component of our finance strategy.
  • We are anticipating earnings per share (adjusted for special factors) of around EUR 2.20 in 2026, based on the sound expected business development. We expect to see adjusted earnings per share increase sharply in 2027.

Our debt issuance program puts us in a position to place issues in the international capital markets at short notice. T‑Mobile US is being refinanced primarily in the form of senior unsecured notes. We can also issue short-term papers in the money market through our Deutsche Telekom and T‑Mobile US commercial paper programs.

Bonds and other financial liabilities in the total amount of EUR 6.6 billion and EUR 8.3 billion will fall due for repayment in 2026 and 2027, respectively, of which around EUR 4.4 billion and EUR 4.8 billion, respectively, relate to T‑Mobile US. A number of T‑Mobile US bonds include issuer termination rights. If the premature termination and refinancing of these bonds result in economic gains, this could give rise to further refinancing requirements. We plan to issue new bonds in various currencies. The exact financing transactions will depend on developments in the international finance markets. We also intend to cover part of our liquidity requirements by issuing commercial paper. In order to cover part of the refinancing needs in 2026, T‑Mobile US issued bonds in January 2026 with a volume of USD 2.0 billion.

We want to continue leveraging economies of scale and synergies through suitable partnerships or appropriate acquisitions in our footprint markets. There are no plans, however, to expand into emerging markets. We will continue to subject our existing partnerships and equity investments to regular strategic reassessments with a view to maximizing the value of our Company.

If the economic situation should deteriorate or any unforeseen state or regulatory interventions arise, the expectations expressed here may change accordingly. Given the level of macroeconomic uncertainty, we also cannot rule out the possibility of deviations.

For further information on the business risks, please refer to the section “Risk and opportunity management.”

The following tables summarize the forecasts for our financial and non-financial performance indicators up to 2027. They assume a comparable consolidated group and constant exchange rates, i.e., an organic basis. In order to create a comparable basis with the forecast period, the results of the 2025 financial year have been adjusted for significant changes in the composition of the Group which have been included in the planning, and for changes in the organizational structure in the pro forma presentation. Thus, the expectations for 2026 are based on the pro forma figures for 2025; expectations for 2027 are based on expectations for 2026. To indicate the intensity and trends of our qualified comparative forecasts, we apply the following aspects: strong decrease, decrease, slight decrease, stable trend, slight increase, increase, strong increase.

Financial performance indicators

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Results
in 2025

Pro forma
in 2025
a

Expectations
for 2026b

Expectations
for 2027b

Revenue

 

 

 

 

 

Group

billions of €

119.1

120.9

increase

increase

Germany

billions of €

25.6

25.6

slight increase

slight increase

United States (in local currency)

billions of $

88.2

90.3

increase

increase

Europe

billions of €

12.7

12.5

slight increase

slight increase

Systems Solutions

billions of €

4.1

4.1

increase

increase

Service revenue

 

 

 

 

 

Group

billions of €

99.4

101.1

increase

increase

Germany

billions of €

22.7

22.7

slight increase

slight increase

United States (in local currency)

billions of $

71.3

73.3

increase

increase

Europe

billions of €

10.6

10.5

slight increase

slight increase

Systems Solutions

billions of €

4.1

4.1

increase

increase

EBITDA AL (adjusted for special factors)

 

 

 

 

 

Group

billions of €

44.2

44.7

47.4

strong increase

Germany

billions of €

10.7

10.7

11.0

increase

United States (in local currency)

billions of $

33.0

33.5

36.2

strong increase

Europe

billions of €

4.7

4.7

4.8

increase

Systems Solutions

billions of €

0.4

0.4

0.4

increase

Profit (loss) from operations (EBIT)

billions of €

24.8

 

increase

strong increase

ROCE

%

7.5

 

slight decrease

strong increase

Cash capex (before spectrum investment)c,d

 

 

 

 

 

Group

billions of €

(16.9)

(17.4)

17.0

decrease

Germany

billions of €

(4.9)

(4.9)

slight increase

slight increase

United States (in local currency)

billions of $

(10.1)

(10.7)

decrease

decrease

Europe

billions of €

(2.0)

(2.0)

stable trend

stable trend

Systems Solutions

billions of €

(0.2)

(0.2)

stable trend

stable trend

Free cash flow AL (before dividend payments and spectrum investment)c,d

billions of €

19.5

19.3

19.8

strong increase

Rating

 

 

 

 

 

Standard & Poor’s, Fitch

 

BBB+

 

from A- to BBB

from A- to BBB

Moody’s

 

A3

 

from A3 to Baa2

from A3 to Baa2

Other

 

 

 

 

 

Dividend per sharee,f

1.00

 

Dividend payout ratio of 40 to 60 % of EPS (adjusted for special factors)

Dividend payout ratio of 40 to 60 % of EPS (adjusted for special factors)

Earnings per share (adjusted for special factors)

2.00

 

2.20

strong increase

Equity ratio

%

31.8

 

25 to 35

25 to 35

Relative debt

 

2.62x

 

≤ 2.75x

≤ 2.75x

a

Significant changes in the organizational structure and in the composition of the Group (including the acquisitions of UScellular and Metronet and the sale of Telekom Romania Mobile Communications) included.

b

On a comparable basis.

c

Excluding cash outflows for investments made by T‑Mobile US to acquire customer bases.

d

Excluding proceeds from the disposal of spectrum due to the sale of spectrum licenses by T‑Mobile US.

e

The indicated expectation regarding the dividend per share refers to the respective financial year indicated.

f

Subject to approval by the relevant bodies and the fulfillment of other legal requirements.

For further information on the expected development of the financial performance indicators of our operating segments, please refer to the section “Market expectations and expectations for the operating segments.”

Non-financial performance indicators

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Results
in 2025

Pro forma
in 2025
a

Expectations
for 2026

Expectations
for 2027

Sustainability

 

 

 

 

 

Customer retention/satisfaction (TRI*M index)b

 

81.3

 

stable trend

stable trend

Employee satisfaction (engagement score)b

 

77

 

stable trend

stable trend

Energy consumptionc

GWh

11,957

11,957

slight increase

slight increase

Of which: Deutsche Telekom excluding T‑Mobile US

GWh

4,432

4,432

stable trend

stable trend

CO2 emissions (Scope 1 and 2)d

kt CO2e

240

240

decrease

decrease

Of which: Deutsche Telekom excluding T‑Mobile US

kt CO2e

154

154

decrease

decrease

Fixed-network and mobile customers

 

 

 

 

 

Germany

 

 

 

 

 

Mobile customers

millions

74.5

74.5

increase

increase

Fixed-network lines

millions

16.8

16.8

slight decrease

stable trend

Retail broadband lines

millions

15.1

15.1

stable trend

slight increase

Television (IPTV, satellite)

millions

4.7

4.7

stable trend

slight increase

United States

 

 

 

 

 

Postpaid accountse

millions

34.2

34.2

increase

increase

Europe

 

 

 

 

 

Mobile customers

millions

47.2

47.2

slight increase

slight increase

Fixed-network lines

millions

8.0

8.0

stable trend

stable trend

Broadband customers

millions

7.4

7.4

increase

increase

Television (IPTV, satellite, cable)

millions

4.5

4.5

increase

increase

Systems Solutions

 

 

 

 

 

Order entry

billions of €

4.2

4.2

increase

increase

a

Significant changes in the organizational structure and in the composition of the Group included.

b

Deutsche Telekom excluding T‑Mobile US.

c

Energy consumption, mainly: electricity, fuel, other fossil fuels, district heating for buildings.

d

Calculated according to the market-based method of the Greenhouse Gas Protocol.

e

Starting in the first quarter of 2026, the United States operating segment will report postpaid accounts instead of postpaid and prepaid customers. For more information, please refer to the section “Market expectations and expectations of operating segments – United States.

For further information on the expected development of the non-financial performance indicators of our operating segments, please refer to the section “Market expectations and expectations for the operating segments.”

Our customer satisfaction/retention – which is expressed using the TRI*M index performance indicator – is expected to remain stable in 2026 against the baseline that is already at a very high level in the benchmark and has been recalculated for 2026. The values achieved in particular for our Germany and Systems Solutions operating segments, as well as across most of the Europe operating segment, put us in a leading position relative to the respective benchmarks. With the exception of the Europe operating segment, where our goal is to post slight improvements in isolated areas, we plan to maintain these leading positions in the benchmark for 2026.

Based on the high engagement score of 77 points in 2025, we expect the positive response of our employees regarding satisfaction with our Company to remain stable in the next surveys both in 2026 and 2027.

We expect our energy consumption to increase slightly at Group level in both 2026 and 2027, and to remain stable in the same period for Deutsche Telekom excluding T‑Mobile US. In both 2026 and 2027, we expect CO2 emissions (Scope 1 and 2) to decline both at Group level and excluding T‑Mobile US. Since 2021, 100 % of the electricity requirements for all Group units have been met from renewable sources. As such, the majority of emissions have been eliminated.

For further information on our ESG KPIs, please refer to the section “Combined sustainability statement.”

Our planning is based on the following exchange rates:

Exchange rates – Expectations

 

 

 

Currency

 

Exchange rate

Polish zloty

PLN

4.24

Czech koruna

CZK

24.68

Hungarian forint

HUF

397.48

U.S. dollar

USD

1.13

Expectations for Deutsche Telekom AG

The development of business at Deutsche Telekom AG, the Group’s parent company, is reflected particularly in the profits/losses from profit transfer agreements with domestic Group companies, other income from subsidiaries, and from associated and related companies, and through its supplier, service, and financial relationships with the Group companies. In other words, the course of business of our Group companies and their results from operations are key factors shaping the future development of Deutsche Telekom AG’s figures.

The underlying expectations concerning the operating segments’ expected revenue and earnings have an impact on the development of Deutsche Telekom AG’s future net income. Factors such as strong competition, ongoing technological developments, regulatory intervention, and market and economic expectations have a major influence on these expectations. Furthermore, net income can be affected by the use of hidden reserves in the course of making changes to the investment structure or as a result of dividends and capital repayments by Group companies.

As in 2024, from the 2025 financial year – subject to approval by the relevant bodies and the fulfillment of other legal requirements – the amount of the dividend is based on a dividend payout ratio of 40 to 60 % of adjusted earnings per share, with a lower limit fixed at EUR 0.60 per dividend-bearing share. This approach is in line with our finance strategy. For the 2025 financial year, we propose a dividend of EUR 1.00 (prior year: EUR 0.90) for each dividend-bearing share.

Deutsche Telekom AG’s unappropriated net income declined in the financial year to EUR 28.0 billion (prior year: EUR 29.1 billion) in line with the forecast made in the prior year. Taking into account the proposed dividend payments totaling EUR 4.8 billion (prior year: EUR 4.4 billion) in 2026 for the 2025 financial year and assuming no significant changes to the contributions of Group companies to earnings as the basis for Deutsche Telekom AG’s net income, we expect a decline in unappropriated net income in 2026, mainly due to unappropriated net income carried forward of EUR 23.1 billion. For the 2026 financial year, we expect an unappropriated net income that will allow the distribution of a dividend of 40 to 60 % of adjusted earnings per share, which is in line with our finance strategy through 2027.

AL – After Leases
Since the start of the 2019 financial year, Deutsche Telekom has taken the effects of the first-time application of IFRS 16 “Leases” into account when determining financial performance indicators. “EBITDA after leases” (EBITDA AL) is calculated by adjusting EBITDA for depreciation of the right-of-use assets and for interest expenses on recognized lease liabilities. When determining “free cash flow after leases” (free cash flow AL), free cash flow is adjusted for the repayment of lease liabilities.
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