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Economic outlook

In its economic forecast from January 2026, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts global economic growth of 3.3 % in 2026 and 3.2 % in 2027. This is below the historical long-term average of 3.7 % between 2000 and 2019. In the United States, growth was mostly buoyed by investments in digital infrastructure and technological innovations, while in Europe high energy prices, structural weaknesses in industry, and modest confidence among consumers and businesses are weighing on the economic outlook.

The following table shows the expected GDP growth rate trends and the change in harmonized consumer prices in our most important markets for 2026 and 2027.

Expected GDP growth rate trends and the change in harmonized consumer prices in our most important markets

%

 

 

 

 

 

GDP for 2026 compared
with 2025

GDP for 2027 compared
with 2026

Consumer prices for 2026 compared
with 2025

Consumer prices for 2027 compared
with 2026

Germany

1.1

1.5

1.8

2.0

United States

2.4

2.0

2.4

2.2

Greece

2.0

1.5

2.5

2.6

Hungary

2.1

2.3

3.5

3.0

Poland

3.5

2.7

2.8

2.7

Czech Republic

2.0

2.0

2.3

2.3

Croatia

2.7

2.6

2.8

2.4

Slovakia

1.7

2.5

3.3

2.2

Austria

0.8

1.6

2.3

2.2

Source: International Monetary Fund; last revised: January 2026.

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