Economic outlook

In its economic forecast from January 2020, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects global economic growth of 3.3 percent in 2020 and of 3.4 percent in 2021. We expect growth in our core markets to slow, but are not anticipating a recession. The economies of Germany, the United States, and the footprint countries of our Europe operating segment are recording positive growth rates, driven by robust domestic demand. Labor markets are benefiting from this trend as well.

Forecast on the development of GDP and the unemployment/non-employment rates in our core markets for 2020 and 2021

%

 

 

 

 

 

GDP for 2020 compared with 2019

GDP for 2021 compared with 2020

Unemployment/non-employment rate in 2020

Unemployment/non-employment rate in 2021

Source: Consensus Economics, European Commission; last revised: January 2020.

The unemployment rate for Germany and the non-employment rates for the other countries are presented in conformance with ILO standards.

Germany

0.9

1.0

5.1

5.1

United States

1.9

2.0

3.6

3.7

Greece

2.1

2.1

15.4

14.0

Romania

3.6

3.3

4.2

4.3

Hungary

2.8

2.8

3.4

3.4

Poland

3.3

3.3

3.6

3.5

Czech Republic

2.2

2.1

2.2

2.3

Croatia

2.6

2.4

5.8

4.9

Netherlands

1.4

1.3

3.7

4.1

Slovakia

2.6

2.7

5.7

5.6

Austria

1.2

1.4

4.6

4.6