Comparison of the Group’s expectations with actual figures

In the 2017 Annual Report, we outlined expectations for the 2018 financial year for our financial and non-financial key performance indicators anchored in our management system. The following tables summarize the pro-forma figures for 2017, the results expected for the reporting year, and the actual results achieved in 2018. The performance indicators that we also forecast in the 2017 Annual Report and their development are presented in the individual sections.

Comparison of the expected financial key performance indicators with actual figures
 

 

 

Pro-forma figures for 2017

Expec­tations for 2018

Results in 2018

ROCE

%

5.8

decrease

4.7

Net revenue

billions of €

74.9

slight increase

75.7

Profit (loss) from operations (EBIT)

billions of €

9.4

decrease

8.0

EBITDA (adjusted for special factors)

billions of €

22.2

23.6a

23.3

Free cash flow (before dividend payments and spectrum investment)

billions of €

5.5

6.3a

6.2

Cash capex (before spectrum investment)

billions of €

12.1

12.5

12.2

Rating (Standard & Poor’s, Fitch)

 

BBB+

from A– to BBB

BBB+

Rating (Moody’s)

 

Baa1

from A3 to Baa2

Baa1

Comparison of the expected non-financial key performance indicators with actual figures
 

 

 

Pro-forma figures for 2017

Expec­tations for 2018

Results in 2018

a

Contrary to the forecasts published in the 2017 combined management report (2017 Annual Report, page 101 et seq.), we adjusted the forecast figures for 2018 during the course of the year (Interim Group Report as of March 31, 2018, page 26; Interim Group Report as of June 30, 2018, page 27; and Interim Group Report as of September 30, 2018, page 29).

b

Commitment index as per the 2017 employee survey.

c

Starting in Q2 2018, we no longer report the number of broadband lines from a technical perspective. Instead, we report the number of broadband customers.

Customer satisfaction (TRI*M index)

 

67.2

slight increase

67.7

Employee satisfaction (commitment index)b

 

4.1

stable trend

4.1

FIXED-NETWORK AND MOBILE CUSTOMERS

 

 

 

 

GERMANY

 

 

 

 

Mobile customers

millions

43.1

increase

44.2

Fixed-network lines

millions

19.2

decrease

18.6

Broadband lines

millions

13.2

increase

13.6

United States

 

 

 

 

Branded postpaid

millions

38.0

increase

42.5

Branded prepay

millions

20.7

increase

21.1

EUROPE

 

 

 

 

Mobile customers

millions

48.8

increase

50.5

Fixed-network lines

millions

8.4

slight decrease

9.1

Broadband customersc

millions

5.5

increase

6.4

SYSTEMS SOLUTIONS

 

 

 

 

Order entry

billions of €

5.2

increase

6.8

We once again look back on a successful financial year. Our performance in 2018 was dominated by substantial growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Revenue reached EUR 75.7 billion, achieving the expected rate of increase – adjusted for exchange rate effects and changes in the composition of the Group, this increase was even more pronounced. Adjusted EBITDA also followed this trend, reaching EUR 23.3 billion – adjusted for exchange rate effects and changes in the composition of the Group, it even surpassed our expectations of EUR 23.6 billion by EUR 0.2 billion. Adjusted for exchange rate effects and changes in the composition of the Group, free cash flow exceeded our expectations by EUR 0.1 billion. At EUR 12.2 billion, cash capex (before spectrum investment) fell short of the figure forecast. Adjusted for exchange rate effects and changes in the composition of the Group, this shortfall amounts to just under EUR 0.2 billion, due primarily to lower capital expenditure in our Systems Solutions operating segment.

Our key performance indicator ROCE (return on capital employed) declined by 1.1 percentage points in the reporting year to 4.7 percent. This negative trend was due to a decrease in net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) while the average amount of net operating assets (NOA) increased slightly over the year. NOPAT was impacted by negative special factors of EUR 2.2 billion in 2018, in particular due to expenses for staff-related measures and for non-staff-related restructuring totaling EUR 1.3 billion, as well as impairment losses totaling EUR 0.7 billion recognized primarily on goodwill. Even the significant improvement in adjusted EBITDA could not completely offset these effects. In the prior year, NOPAT had been affected by negative special factors of EUR 0.4 billion, while positive special factors, such as the reversal of impairment losses previously recognized for spectrum licenses at T-Mobile US (EUR 1.7 billion) or the sale of Strato (EUR 0.5 billion) and of further shares in Scout24 AG (EUR 0.2 billion), had an off-setting effect. Overall, NOPAT amounted to EUR 5.9 billion in 2018, down from EUR 6.8 billion in 2017. NOA increased from EUR 118.9 billion to EUR 124.0 billion in 2018 as a result of growth in intangible assets and property, plant and equipment, as well as an increase in the present value of unrecognized rental and lease obligations, reflecting Deutsche Telekom’s consistently high level of investment.

We are also very well on track with our non-financial key performance indicators, especially with regard to the development of fixed-network and mobile customer numbers. In our United States operating segment in particular, we again recorded continued strong additions, both in the postpaid and prepay segments. The customer growth in our Europe operating segment is largely a result of the fixed-network lines added as part of the acquisition of UPC Austria. Even without this effect, the number of grew by 3.2 percent. At the end of the reporting year, customer satisfaction came in at 67.7 points versus 67.2 points at the start of the year. Changes to the revenue shares contributed by each country and steps to harmonize the statistical units in the countries led to us recalculating the baseline figure for 2018 on the basis of the new structures these changes entailed. The new baseline thus diverges from the figure of 68.8 reported as of December 31, 2017. This moderate upward trend is attributable to a slight increase in the Europe operating segment. Germany and Systems Solutions each essentially matched their prior-year levels. Our goal for the coming years is to achieve a steady overall improvement in customer satisfaction. Order entry at our Systems Solutions operating segment improved markedly in 2018, thanks in part to the successful conclusion of major deals in the traditional IT business. Order entry in our growth areas also developed very well in the reporting year. For further information on the trends in our main financial and non-financial key performance indicators, please refer to the relevant passages in this section as well as in the section “Development of business in the operating segments”.

Mobile customers
In the combined management report, one mobile communications card corresponds to one customer. The totals were calculated on the basis of precise figures and rounded to millions or thousands. Percentages were calculated on the basis of the figures shown (see also SIM card).
Fixed-network lines
Lines in operation excluding internal use and public telecommunications, including IP-based lines. The totals reported in the combined management report were calculated on the basis of precise figures and rounded to millions or thousands. Percentages were calculated on the basis of the figures shown.